Tim’s Senate Prediction

Having just finished my HoR prediction, here is my one for the Senate. Can’t be bothered doing the whole explanation, but I think it’s pretty straightforward, and I doubt this will surprise anyone.

New South Wales

Coalition – 3
Labor – 2
Green – 1

ACT
Coalition – 1
Labor – 1

Victoria
Coalition – 3
Labor – 2
Green – 1

Tasmania
Coalition – 2
Labor – 3
Greens – 1

South Australia
Coalition – 3
Labor – 3

Western Australia
Coalition – 3
Labor – 2
Green – 1

NT
Coalition – 1
Labor – 1

Queensland
Coalition – 3
Labor – 3

TOTAL
Coalition: 19
Labor – 17
Greens – 4

Adding this to the last half senate result, we will a Senate that comprises:

Coalition: 35
Labor: 33
Greens: 7
Ind: 1

I note this is one off Ben Raue’s (who gives one more to the Greens at the expense of the Libs in Queensland than I do. But then, you’d expect it from a dirty filthy unreputable Green like him :p)

UPDATE: Thinking about it more though,  Ben may well be right regarding Queensland. Last time around there was a big pro-Rudd element in the Labor vote, and this time a lot of disenchanted leftists with his dumping might well go Green.

Advertisements

3 Responses to “Tim’s Senate Prediction”

  1. Tim’s House of Representatives Predictions « The musings of an Australian classical liberal in Washington DC Says:

    […] DC VENI. BLOGI. LIBERI. « Tim’s NSW Senate Below The Line Vote UPDATED Tim’s Senate Prediction […]

  2. nicks Says:

    I think Greens will pick up a senator in SA from Labor as well as from Labor in QLD. I Also think there may be a family first or climate skeptic in SA at expense of Libs – but that is more unlikely.

  3. Tweets that mention Tim’s Senate Prediction « The musings of an Australian classical liberal in Washington DC -- Topsy.com Says:

    […] This post was mentioned on Twitter by Tim Andrews, nickrouen. nickrouen said: Tim's Senate Prediction: http://t.co/GSlJ7sJ he's right in his Ben correction i think […]

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s


%d bloggers like this: